US Tech 100 ICT Analysis
April 25, 2025 | NASDAQ 100 Futures | TradingView Charts
Market Structure & Liquidity Analysis
Daily (D) Chart
- MSS: Price made a lower low (L: 19,108.2) but closed above previous swing low
- Liquidity:
- Sell-side (SSL): Above 19,388.4
- Buy-side (BSL): Below 19,108.2
- Order Block: Consolidation near 19,200–19,300
- FVG: 19,250–19,280 (potential support)
4H (4H) Chart
- MSS: Slight uptrend (higher highs/lows)
- Liquidity:
- Equal Highs (EH): Near 19,300.5
- Equal Lows (EL): Near 19,130.2
- FVG: Bullish FVG at 19,150–19,180
15M (15m) Chart
- MSS: Recent lower high at 19,257.1
- Liquidity:
- Recent High: 19,257.1 (short entry)
- Recent Low: 19,221.6 (long entry)
- FVG: Bearish FVG at 19,240–19,250
Trade Setups with ICT Confluences
Potential Long Entry (Bullish Scenario)
BullishTrigger
Price retests 4H FVG (19,150–19,180) or Daily OB (19,200–19,250) with bullish reversal candle
Entry
~19,180–19,200
Stop Loss (SL)
Below 19,130.2 (4H equal low)
Take Profit (TP)
TP1: 19,300 (4H equal high)
TP2: 19,388 (Daily high)
Justification (ICT Confluences):
- FVG + Order Block alignment on 4H/Daily timeframes
- Liquidity below 19,130 likely to be swept before reversal
- Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone confirmed by higher timeframe structure
Potential Short Entry (Bearish Scenario)
BearishTrigger
Price rejects 15m FVG (19,240–19,250) or 4H equal high (19,300.5) with bearish rejection candle
Entry
~19,240–19,260
Stop Loss (SL)
Above 19,300.5 (4H high)
Take Profit (TP)
TP1: 19,130 (4H equal low)
TP2: 19,108 (Daily low)
Justification (ICT Confluences):
- 15m FVG acts as resistance with lower timeframe confirmation
- 4H equal high (19,300.5) is a liquidity target
- Daily chart shows potential for continuation of bearish structure
Key Confluences & Risk Management
- Best Trades: Align with 4H/Daily structure (e.g., longs near 19,180–19,200)
- Avoid Low-Probability Trades: Shorts below 19,200 lack higher-timeframe confirmation
- Liquidity Runs: Expect stops below 19,130 or above 19,300 before reversals
Conclusion
- Bullish Bias: If price holds 19,150–19,200, expect move toward 19,300–19,388
- Bearish Bias: If price rejects 19,240–19,300, expect drop toward 19,130–19,108
- Optimal Trade Entry (OTE): Wait for retracement into FVGs/OBs with confirmation