ICT-Based Trading Strategy: US Tech 100 (Nasdaq 100) – May 8, 2025 Closing Auction Setup
1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Higher Timeframe (Daily/Weekly) – Bullish Dominance
Daily Close (May 7): 20,222.9 (+1.75%) – Strong bullish momentum.
Weekly High: 20,249.3 – Price is testing this level.
Key Support: 20,200 (Previous resistance now support).
2. Intraday Price Action (15-Min Chart)
Session High: 20,227.9
Session Low: 20,214.4
Current Price: 20,216.4 (Minor pullback)
ICT Liquidity Zones
Liquidity Below (Stop Hunt Zone): 20,200–20,210
Liquidity Above (Take-Profit Zone): 20,230–20,250
3. Trading Strategy: Long or Short?
A) Long Setup (High Probability – ICT Markup into Close)
Why Long?
- Bullish HTF trend (Higher highs on daily/weekly)
- 3:40–4:00 PM often sees institutional buying
- Liquidity below 20,200 likely to be swept before reversal
B) Short Setup (Low Probability – Only If Structure Breaks)
Why Short?
- Only if price rejects 20,230 and breaks 20,214.4 with volume
- Could be a stop hunt before reversal
| Scenario | Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long (Markup Close) | 20,210–20,200 | <20,200 | 20,250–20,300 | High |
| Short (Breakdown) | <20,214.4 | >20,230 | 20,200 | Low |
Conclusion
Primary Bias: Bullish into close (ICT markup phase).
Short Only If: Structure breaks with volume.
Key Levels:
- Support: 20,200 (Must hold for bulls)
- Resistance: 20,230–20,250 (Profit-taking zone)
US Tech 100 ICT Trading Analysis (May 8, 2025)
_____________________________________________________________Key Levels (5-Minute Chart)
- Current Price: 20,188.7
- Resistance: 20,191.9 (rejection zone)
- Breakdown Trigger: 20,182.2 (swing low)
- Liquidity Target: Below 20,180 (stop hunt zone)
- Reversal Confirmation: 20,187.9 (CISD reclaim)
Expected Price Action
Bearish Liquidity Sweep (Stop Hunt)
- Price rejects 20,191.9 → drops to 20,182.2
- Breaks 20,182.2 with volume → targets 20,175-20,170
- Purpose: Hunt stops below weak lows before reversal
Reversal Signal (CISD Entry)
- Look for: 1-minute bullish candle (engulfing/pin bar)
- Volume Spike: Must accompany reversal candle
- Optimal Entry Time: 3:45-3:55 PM ET (ICT closing "kill zone")
Trade Execution Plan
Scenario 1: Stop Hunt & Reversal
- Short Entry: Break of 20,182.2 with volume
- Target: 20,175-20,170
- Stop: Above 20,191.9
- Long Entry: 1-min close above 20,187.9 (CISD)
- Target: 20,195-20,200
Note: Volume is critical - no reversal without volume confirmation. Focus on 1-minute candles after 3:30 PM ET. Always wait for candle close confirmation.
US Tech 100 Trading Plan (5-Min Chart - 15:23 UTC-4)
Current Chart Snapshot
- Price: 20,227.9 (+0.12%)
- Recent High: 20,240.8 (resistance)
- Recent Low: 20,198.2 (support)
- Structure: Higher highs/lows (bullish)
Bullish Continuation Plan
Entry Conditions
- Price holds above 20,227.9 as support
- Break above 20,240.8 with increasing volume
Trade Execution Example
- Entry:
- Aggressive: Buy at 20,228 (pullback to demand zone)
- Conservative: Buy stop at 20,242 (above resistance) - Target 1: 20,250 (psychological level)
- Target 2: 20,270-20,300 (liquidity pool)
- Stop Loss: 20,197 (below recent low)
- Risk-Reward: 1:2+ (30-point stop vs 60+ point target)
Bearish Rejection Scenario
- Trigger: Double top at 20,240.8 + bearish candle
- Entry: Sell at break of 20,220 with volume
- Target: 20,198.2 (support retest)
- Stop Loss: 20,241 (above resistance)
Current: 20,227.9
Support: 20,220 → 20,198.2