Nasdaq (US Tech 100) ICT Judas Swing Analysis
1. Pre-Market Structure (Key ICT Levels)
Resistance
19,226.2 (Session High)
19,247.0 (Pre-market High)
19,300.0
19,226.2 (Session High)
19,247.0 (Pre-market High)
19,300.0
Support
19,201.1 (Session Low)
19,158.1 (Yesterday's Support)
19,100.0
19,201.1 (Session Low)
19,158.1 (Yesterday's Support)
19,100.0
"Judas swings often occur when price sweeps liquidity opposite to the eventual direction."
2. NY Open (9:30 AM EST) Judas Swing Scenarios
A) Bullish Judas Swing (Fake Drop → Rally)
How It Develops:
- Price dips below 19,201.1 pre-open (liquidity grab)
- Rapid reversal above 19,201.1 post-open
- Targets liquidity above 19,226.2 → 19,247.0
Confirmation:
- Bullish FVG forms near 19,158-19,180
- 1-minute candle closes back above 19,201.1
Trade: Long at 19,180-19,200 (stop below 19,158.1)
B) Bearish Judas Swing (Fake Rally → Drop)
How It Develops:
- Price spikes above 19,226.2 pre-open (liquidity grab)
- Sharp rejection post-open, dropping below 19,201.1
- Targets liquidity below 19,158.1 → 19,100.0
Confirmation:
- Bearish FVG forms near 19,220-19,240
- 1-minute candle closes below 19,201.1
Trade: Short at 19,220-19,240 (stop above 19,247.0)
3. Liquidity Sweeps to Watch
Upside Liquidity
19,226.2 (session high)
19,247.0 (pre-market high)
19,226.2 (session high)
19,247.0 (pre-market high)
Downside Liquidity
19,201.1 (session low)
19,158.1 (yesterday's support)
19,201.1 (session low)
19,158.1 (yesterday's support)
4. Trade Plan for NY Open
| Scenario | Trigger | Entry | Stop | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullish Judas | Fake drop below 19,201 → reversal | Long 19,180-19,200 | <19,158 | 19,226 → 19,247 |
| Bearish Judas | Fake rally above 19,226 → rejection | Short 19,220-19,240 | >19,247 | 19,158 → 19,100 |
5. What to Avoid Today
❌ Avoid:
- Trading between 19,201-19,226 (choppy pre-open range)
- Chasing breakouts without FVG/order block confirmation
- Ignoring NY session killzone timing (9:30-10:30 AM EST)
✅ Focus On:
- Liquidity sweeps at session extremes (19,158.1 or 19,247.0)
- 1-minute FVG breaks aligned with Judas swing direction
6. Key Time-Based Triggers (ICT Killzones)
- 9:30-10:00 AM EST: Highest probability for Judas swing
- 10:00-10:30 AM EST: Follow-through momentum (confirm trend)
Final Bias
Bullish Bias
If price holds above 19,201.1 post-open
If price holds above 19,201.1 post-open
Bearish Bias
If price rejects 19,226.2 and breaks 19,201.1
If price rejects 19,226.2 and breaks 19,201.1
Trade Smart: Wait for the 9:30 AM candle close to confirm direction! 🚀