US Tech 100 (Nasdaq 100) Analysis Using ICT Concepts
Analysis Date: April 2, 2025 (for April 3-4 trading)
1. Weekly Chart Analysis
Key Observations
- Bullish Momentum: Price closed near the weekly high, indicating strong buying interest
- Liquidity Sweep: The low at 18,791.0 could have been a liquidity grab before the rally
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Strong move up suggests an imbalance that may need filling later
- Resistance: 19,714.5 (Weekly High) is a key level to watch
Weekly Prediction for Thursday
Bullish Continuation Likely (unless price rejects 19,714.5)
If Thursday opens near 19,581.8, expect an early push up to test liquidity above 19,714.5
2. Daily Chart Analysis
Key Observations
- Liquidity Pool: The low at 19,143.6 was swept before the rally (bear trap)
- FVG: Between 19,143.6 - 19,421.9, price may revisit this zone for mitigation
- Resistance: 19,714.5 (same as weekly)
- Support: 19,143.6 (recent low)
Daily Prediction for Thursday
Initial Pullback Likely (to fill FVG near 19,400-19,450) before continuation
If price holds above 19,450, expect another push toward 19,714.5
3. 4H Chart Analysis
Key Observations
- Choppy Price Action: Small range (+0.05%) suggests consolidation before next move
- Liquidity Levels:
- Above: 19,591.5 (recent high)
- Below: 19,429.6 (recent low)
4H Prediction for Thursday
Early Session: Sideways or slight pullback (mitigating FVG)
Mid-Late Session: Potential bullish push if 19,591.5 breaks
Final Predictions & Trade Plan
Thursday (Apr 03, 2025)
Likely Stronger Side: Bullish (if 19,591.5 holds)
Early Pullback Possible to 19,450 before continuation
Key Levels:
- Bullish Break: > 19,591.5 → Target 19,714.5
- Bearish Rejection: < 19,429.6 → Target 19,143.6
Friday & Weekly Close
Bullish Close Likely (if Thursday holds gains)
Potential Target: 19,800-20,000 if 19,714.5 breaks
Bearish Risk: If Thursday fails to hold 19,450, weekly close could be near 19,200
ICT-Aligned Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario
1. Look for pullback to 19,450 (FVG fill)
2. Enter long with SL below 19,429.6, targeting 19,714.5
Bearish Scenario (if rejection occurs)
1. Short below 19,429.6, targeting 19,143.6
Final Note
Best Probability: Bullish continuation into Friday close
Watch for New York Session liquidity runs (AM/PM) for confirmation